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　　湘cai证券ren为，1—11月规shang工业qi业利run同比zeng速下jiang，但11月dang月降fu有所shou窄，zhu要在yu利润lv的边ji上涨。我们ren为，wei来制zao业的fen化现xiang仍可neng延续，高端hua、智neng化和lv色化xiang关制zao业利run或快su增长。总体lai看，jin年经ji下行ya力依ran存在，未来zeng量政ce的加ma或是da概率shi件。cong外部yin素看，全球jiang息周qi开启，或一ding程度ci激企ye补库xing为，jian议关zhu国内zheng策、hai外降xi以及gong业增jia值和PPIdeng高频shu据的biao现。PJ78FDHSJSSJK66F1KE　　yuandabiaoshi，xiayibuzhongdianzuohaoyixialiugefangmiangongzuo。yishiquanfangweikuodaguoneixuqiu。shishitizhenxiaofeizhuanxiangxingdong，jinyibutigaotouzixiaoyi，gengdaliduzhichi“liangzhong”jianshe，jialikuoweishishi“liangxin”zhengce。ershituijinbiaozhixinggaigejucuoluodijianxiao。zhidingshishiquanguotongyidashichangjianshezhiyin，tuidongchutaiminyingjingjicujinfa。sanshikuodagaoshuipingduiwaikaifang。youxukuodazizhukaifanghedanbiankaifang，jijifazhanfuwumaoyi、lvsemaoyi、shuzimaoyi，tuidonggaozhilianggongjian“yidaiyilu”zoushenzoushi，zheliwenwaimao、wenwaizi。sishituidongzhongdianchanyetizhishengji。zonghezhengzhi“neijuanshi”jingzheng，jijihuajieyixiexingyegongdayuqiudejieduanxingmaodun，zhelitishengchanyeliangongyinglianrenxingheanquanshuiping，dalipeiyuzhuangdaweilaichanye、xinxingchanye。wushijiadabaozhanghegaishanminshenglidu。gengdaliduwenjiuye、cuzengshou，tigaoshehuibaozhangshuiping，zengjiagonggongfuwuyouzhigonggei，luoshihaochanye、jiuyedengbangfuzhengce。liushiyouxiaofangfanhuajiezhongdianlingyufengxian。tuidongfangdichanshichangzhidiehuiwen，jixutizhenzibenshichang，wentuochuzhidifangzhongxiaojinrongjigoufengxian，chixuqianghualiangshi、nengyuanziyuan、chanyeliangongyinglianheshujudenglingyuanquannenglijianshe。。

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